BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Southern Cal

Class: 1A Class Rank: 74 Conference: Pacific 12 Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (4-7) Overall Strength =   81.77

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/04/2021 Home    W    88.24  30   7   1A 110 (  5-  7) San Jose St             6.50     16.50                      
  2 09/11/2021 Home    L *  58.53  28  42   1A 101 (  3-  9) Stanford              -23.21      9.21                      
  3 09/18/2021 Away    W * 119.86  45  14   1A  57 (  7-  5) Washington St          38.11     -7.11                      
  4 09/25/2021 Home    L *  68.18  27  45   1A  45 (  7-  5) Oregon St             -13.56     -4.44                      
  5 10/02/2021 Away    W * 102.64  37  14   1A  90 (  4-  8) Colorado               20.90      2.10                      
  6 10/09/2021 Home    L *  77.86  26  42   1A  12 (  9-  3) Utah                   -3.88    -12.12                      
  7 10/23/2021 Away    L    88.90  16  31   1A   6 ( 11-  1) Notre Dame              7.16    -22.16                      
  8 10/30/2021 Home    W *  74.94  41  34   1A 109 (  1- 11) Arizona                -6.80     13.80                      
  9 11/06/2021 Away    L *  76.38  16  31   1A  47 (  8-  4) Arizona St             -5.36     -9.64                      
 10 11/20/2021 Home    L *  59.99  33  62   1A  31 (  8-  4) UCLA                  -21.75     -7.25                      
 11 11/27/2021 Home    L    83.92  31  35   1A  46 ( 10-  2) Brigham Young           2.18     -6.18                      
 12 12/04/2021 Away      *                  1A  66 (  4-  7) California                       -4.95             
      Averages              81.77  30.0 32.5

Best game:  119.86 = 31 point win over Washington St
Worst game:  58.53 = 14 point loss to Stanford
Team stdev:  18.09